New York, August 8, 2008: As the Democratic and Republican conventions approach, the presidential campaign has heated up with both candidates going on the attack.
“The candidates have stepped up their criticisms of each other,” says Roland Schatz, President of Media Tenor International, “this means that they’re both facing a significantly greater share of negative statements in their media coverage. The shift in tone also puts Obama and McCain at risk of being criticized for the increased intensity of their campaigns. For example, there’s already been some push-back on McCain’s latest attack ad.”
Meanwhile, Media Tenor successfully predicted Obama’s continued slide in the polls on the basis of his media image.
“Previously Obama always dominated when polls and predictions were discussed, but high expectations may have harmed him,” notes Schatz. ”McCain is now getting much more favorable coverage in this area, and the election is starting to look like a real competition.”
Additionally, the so-called leadership gap continues to weigh on Obama. Even as he gains ground on specific topics, a large share of his coverage when it comes to general leadership issues remains negative.
“It’s increasingly looking like Obama faces a serious struggle to convince the media that he has the experience to be president. Even when Obama is ahead on individual issues, McCain is consistently rated better on leadership,” Schatz points out. “This will probably be a major factor in his choice of a Vice President. Obama needs to choose someone the media regards as experienced in order to reassure voters.”
For the third time, International Media analysis company Media Tenor is offering a detailed analysis of the U.S. presidential campaign. TV news coverage of the leading Presidential contenders is scrutinized at a detailed level. “The methodology was developed 15 years ago and has been successfully used not only to analyze the 2000 and 2004 U.S. Presidential campaigns, but also for International politics,” Schatz explains. Media Tenor’s Presidential Campaign Watch focuses not only on candidate standings, but also on topics and sources, while adding an international perspective. Results of Media Tenor studies will be regularly published on MediaChannel.org.
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